NBU: Business in Ukraine has improved inflation expectations in IV sq.-2009
Jan 27th, 2010 | By admin | Category: Main NewsInflationary expectations Ukrainian business circles in the fourth quarter of 2009 declined significantly, according to the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU), with reference to an opinion poll managers.
"In the fourth quarter improved significantly as a macro-economic expectations of the enterprises, as well as expectations about the prospects for their development, although no estimates have not reached pre-crisis level ... In the next 12 months, consumer price inflation is expected by respondents at the level of 15,1% against 17,5% in the previous quarter, "- the report indicates.
According to the NBU interviewed 1,245 businesses in all regions of the country, which represent the main economic activities.
It was reported that in 2009 inflation in Ukraine was 12,3%, while in 2008 - 22,3%. The government predicts slowdown in inflation in Ukraine in 2010 to 9,7%.
According to the National Bank, business leaders expect growth in sales at both the domestic and foreign markets. In addition, the evaluation slowdown in investment activity continued to soften the second consecutive quarter.
At the same time, employment growth is not expected fifth consecutive quarter, although the negative expectations also softened.
Survey respondents also predict a rise in borrowing requirements: the use of credit resources of most enterprises is constrained by high interest rates on loans, short term loans and the imperfection of the mechanism of mortgages.
Continuing hryvnia exchange rate to the U.S. dollar projected 33,3% of the respondent against 16,5% in the third quarter of last year. However, the majority of respondents expect a devaluation of hryvnia in the next 12 months: the U.S. dollar - 58.6% of respondents to the euro - 64,2%.
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