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Kommersant: Turkmen somersault

Sep 22nd, 2009 | By admin | Category: Main News

plans to resume deliveries of Turkmen gas to Ukraine again can cross Russia. Yesterday, Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov said that Ashgabat is ready to begin negotiations with Gazprom to resume purchases. Experts believe that Moscow has agreed to buy Turkmen gas even on unfavorable terms just to avoid connecting Ashgabat to the project Nabucco.

Yesterday, Turkmen President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov said that in the near future the state concern Turkmengaz continue negotiations with Gazprom on the resumption of gas supplies, which were suspended after the accident at the Central Asia-Center (CAC-4) on 9 April. Russia is our long-standing strategic partner. We will continue to strengthen and develop our cooperation, - said the president of Turkmenistan. Gazprom yesterday confirmed that the expert-level contacts continued.

Official statement Turkmen leadership means removing all the technical obstacles to the resumption of Russia purchases of Turkmen gas, which was interrupted after the explosion at the CAC-4. True, the president of East European Gas Analysis Michael Korchemkin notes that in fact the tube reinstated in April - three days after the explosion. Cessation of pumping gas, according to the expert, due to the fact that Gazprom is unprofitable to renew its purchase on the same terms.

Yesterday's statement

Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov means that the gas conflict between Russia and Turkmenistan will soon be set period. However, yesterday, spokesman for Prime Minister Dmitry Peskov, and the official representative of Gazprom Sergei Kupriyanov could not clarify the date of resumption of purchases of Turkmen gas and the new conditions. A source in Gazprom said that a unified position on these issues yet, so the date of the visit of the CEO Alexei Miller in Ashgabat is not defined yet. But the source believes that the visit will take place shortly. According Komersant-Ukraine, a policy decision on the restoration of supplies was taken at a recent meeting of the presidents of Turkmenistan Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov and Russia Dmitry Medvedev in Turkmenbashi. After the meeting the leaders themselves anything concrete on this issue is not stated. However, as said a source close to negotiations, the theme of gas discussed and debated seriously: it was then President Medvedev told a colleague that Moscow intends to resume purchases. Active movement on the part of Turkmenistan and the attempts to diversify export routes for gas, including in the European direction, did not go unnoticed, - explained the reasons for this decision, the source in the Foreign Ministry of Russia.

Indeed, in recent Ashgabat actively demonstrated that buyers for its gas finds, and without Russia. Most concerned about attempts Ashgabat to Moscow to enter the Western markets for gas, which Turkmenistan will directly compete with Russia. In August, Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov visited Bulgaria and Turkey, and discussed with the leadership of these countries, connecting Turkmenistan to the European project Nabucco gas pipeline from the Caspian region to the EU, bypassing Russia. But exactly a week ago in Ashgabat visited Ukrainian President Viktor Yushchenko discussed the possibility of direct purchases of Turkmen gas. According to the source in Turkmengaz, it was after this visit from Moscow has proposed the resumption of supplies. Member of the Committee of the Verkhovna Rada on thermal power station Sergei Tulub, said: It seems that Viktor Yushchenko has helped Russia and Turkmenistan agree on this issue. This means that Turkmenistan did not consider us as a serious partner.

As experts note, in the present circumstances the purchase of Turkmen gas is unlikely to be Gazprom's economically justifiable. According to the calculations of Michael Korchemkina, in this case, each billion cubic meters of Turkmen gas Gazprom will lose $ 70 million profit. Even if the company manages to get a solid discount to the recorded in last year's contract price of $ 300 per thousand cubic meters of Turkmen gas exports to Europe will not allow Gazprom to restore its own production in Russia in the pre-crisis level. However, apparently, for the desire to maintain Russia's position as the main transit of Turkmen gas to Europe, Moscow is ready to forget about the economic feasibility.

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