Forecasts of analysts: These American statistics may have a mixed impact on the dynamics of Russian indices
Oct 15th, 2009 | By admin | Category: Main NewsÂÂ
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 15.10.09 10:15 ;
 Yesterday, 14 October 2009, trading on Russian stock exchanges ended the growth of the major indexes. In the middle of trading on the background of the overall positive trend of global exchanges and the growing cost of oil the RTS and MICEX updated yearly highs, reaching 1445 points and 1368 points, respectively. At the end of the trading session the MICEX index rose by 3,192% to 1,362.86 points, the RTS rose by 2,94% to 1,441.24 points. Trading volume on MICEX amounted to $ 7 442.95 million
In the electricity sector, in particular in the papers of a number of shares of OGK, after the rapid growth of the previous day yesterday there was a correction. Trade stocks were the favorites Gazprom Neft, soaring 7%, Gazprom, went up by 5%, and Norilsk Nickel, which grew by 4.8%. Shares of Lukoil company rose 3%, Transneft - on 2,81%, Surgutneftegaz - on 3,93%, Tatneft - on 1,57%.
In the evening session on FORTS futures on the RTS index rose by 1,651% to 146,785 points. Futures for shares of Gazprom, Lukoil, Sberbank increased by 1.528%, 1.124% and 1.725% respectively.
As a result of ADRs trading on Russia's actions were: VTB (Eng) - 4,71, Gazprom (Eng) - 27,3, Lukoil (Eng) - 65,6, Nor. Nickel (Eng) - 14,09, Rosneft (Eng) - 8,33, Surgutnfgz (Eng) - 9,83, Mobil TeleSystem (USA) - 53,46, Rostelecom (USA) -30.49, Vimpelcom (USA) - 20,12, Mechel Steel (USA) - 21.52.
Major U.S. stock indices after accounting giants such as JPMorgan and Intel, were better than analysts' expectations, and also better than projected, data on retail sales for September, on Wednesday showed positive dynamics. For example, retail sales in September fell by 1.5% against the projected decline of 2.1%. Import prices for the same period increased by 0,1%, exports decreased by 0,3%. Industrial stocks in August fell by 1.5%. As a result, Dow-Jones index rose by 1,46%, SP - on 1,75%, Nasdaq - on 1,51%. As a result, the value Dow-Jones reached the level of 10,015.86 points, SP - 1092,02, Nasdaq - 2172,23 points.
Asian areas were traded today on the positive territory. The value of the Japanese Nikkei rose by 1,562%. China's Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.16%.
the morning of Thursday the course of pair euro /dollar at Forex stands at 1,496. Oil prices continue to rise, surpassing $ 75 a barrel mark. Analysts believe that rising oil prices caused by the revision of the forecast for global oil demand in 2009. October 13, 2009 Organization of the countries - the Petroleum Exporting Countries raised its estimate for oil demand in 2009 to 700 thousand barrels per day to 84.9 million barrels. December futures for Brent crude traded at $ 74.66 a barrel, Light - $ 76,31 per barrel.
External background before opening a Russian trading develops positive. Today is expected to open with gepom up to 1.5-2%. Season with might and main statements used by investors for the game to improve. In the current environment the greatest growth potential we see in the shares of Gazprom. Today is a very rich day for corporate reporting in the U.S.: Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, Google, IBM, AMD, NOKIA, - publish data for the 3rd quarter. In case of positive data forward to the continuation of rising short-term dynamics. The interest of investors to risk has increased to the maximum of the last 3 years. Shopping for paper prices going higher and higher. The main thing here is not be the last link in this chain of optimism , - believes Dmitry clerks, an analyst at SG shares Vestiga.
«The sharp rise in oil prices is likely to contribute to the growth of stock price of oil and gas companies. Positive statements JPMorgan raised its demand for the securities of the financial sector, which can positively affect the shares of domestic banks. Today in the United States will be issued a large block of statistical data that may affect the dynamics of bidding. In particular, pay attention to the consumer price index, data on unemployment benefits and fuel reserves , - commented Denis Kruglov, an analyst at the investment company Finam.
According to Paul Head of the IFC Eurogreen Russia's stock market opening will resume his march to the annual maximum. MICEX index went to conquer the mark 1380. overbought at the lack of time candlelight and divergence in overbought daily and weekly, can count on further growth. If the reports of foreign companies will bring unpleasant surprises, the index will depart for 1340/1320. At the top of the index mark waiting for 1400, to which at this rate of growth can reach today - he believes.
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Against the backdrop of rapid publication of financial results Tatneft for 2 quarter of US GAAP possible surge of interest in securities of companies
Today is best spent contemplating profit in its portfolio from the previously discovered long positions
Today the U.S. Ministry of Energy publishes a report on oil and petroleum products, the market expects the next growth target
Even though the overheating quotes Russian indexes upward movement will continue
Russia Market could update the annual maxima in the first hours of trading
Domestic indices today confidently strikes highs in 2009
Short-term goal for Russia's market is the level of 1400-1450 points on the MICEX
Shares of the banking sector will be the favorite to start trading, support during the day they will have the expectation of reporting Citigroup and Goldman Sachs
Opening of tenders is expected with a gap up to 2-3% and the MICEX index in the near future may be at the mark of 1,450 points
