Forecasts of analysts: Stabilization of the external background can lead Russia's indexes plus
Oct 5th, 2009 | By admin | Category: Main NewsÂÂ
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 05.10.09 10:12 ;
 Friday, October 2, 2009, trading on Russian stock markets ended in the fall of the main indexes, amid negative external news. In particular, the United States was published statistics from the U.S. labor market, which was worse than analysts' expectations. The unemployment rate in September was 9.8%, as expected. The number of jobs in the U.S. economy fell by 263 thousand, while experts predicted a decline of 175 thousand up to the day the RTS index dropped to 3.32% to 1224.8 points and the MICEX index fell 2.94% to 1175.83 item. Trading volume on the stock market, MICEX Stock Exchange amounted to 109.36 billion rubles.
outsiders began trading shares of steel companies: IMC (-4.42%), Norilsk Nickel (-5.29%), NLMK (-2,3%), Severstal (-5.53 %). Hardest cheaper paper Rostelecom - on 4,6%. The worst of the market were shares of the banking sector: Sberbank (-2.34%), VTB was able to complete securities trading in positive territory (0.89%). In the framework of market trends, dropping shares of oil and gas sector: Gazprom (-2,8%), Lukoil (-2.9%), Rosneft (-3%).
On Friday evening session on FORTS December futures on the RTS index fell by 0,431% and amounts to 120,240 points. Futures for shares of Gazprom and Sberbank grew by 0,242% and 0,137% respectively, futures on shares of LUKoil fell by 0,383%.
As a result of ADRs trading on Russia's actions were: VTB (Eng) - 3,8, Gazprom (Eng) - 22,84, LUKOIL (Eng) - 54,3, Nor. Nickel (Eng) - 11,97, Rosneft (Eng) - 7,37, Surgutnfgz (Eng) - 8,3, Mobil TeleSystem (USA) - 45.33, Rostelecom (USA) - 27,7, Vimpelcom (USA) - 17,94, Mechel Steel (USA) - 16.92.
Friday, October 2, the major stock indexes of the United States after the release of negative statistics, fell back down. As a result, Dow-Jones index fell by 0,227%, SP - to 0,451%, Nasdaq - to 0,455%. As a result, the value Dow-Jones reached the level of 9487.67 points, SP - 1025,21, Nasdaq - 2048,11 points.
Asian areas were traded today, with the reduction due to poor statistics on the U.S. labor market. The value of the Japanese Nikkei fell by 0,593% and amounted to 9,674.15 points. Trades in China are not held in connection with the holiday.
Monday morning rate of pair euro /dollar at Forex stands at 1.4629.
Oil prices fell slightly. The November futures for Brent crude traded at $ 68.07 per barrel, Light - $ 69,88 per barrel.
Thus, the background before opening the Russian Trading develops moderately negative. Russia today, the stock market starts the day with the restoration of their positions against the backdrop of American grown-futures and hooked at the top of oil. MICEX Index go to 1190, and in case of consolidation of oil above $ 70, he can go to 1200. Probably, the statistics will be of great importance for the markets, as well as unexpected negative data published over the last few days, causing a growing concern for the state of the world economy. Forecasts for the most part are optimistic, so any surprise with the minus sign results in falling markets. This scenario may MICEX index to 1150 , - says Pavel Goals IFC Eurogreen.
According to Vladimir Sergievsky, the strategist of investment company Finam, the main external negative was considered by the market as early as Friday evening, and current information background is neutral. Subject to stabilize the external environment, in the course of trading, investors can try to win back part of the Friday loss. In the case of positive trends, the market can look better than stock steel companies and banks , - he believes.
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The most likely scenario for today is the continued fall of the Russian index
Today, the Russian sites can be expected of a neutral open
Left statistic data from the U.S. suggest that expectations of economic recovery were overoptimistic
Russia stock market today will begin the day with the restoration of their positions against the backdrop of American grown-futures
Today, high volatility can be observed in the banking and energy sectors
Today, the market may look better than stock steel companies and banks
On Friday, the U.S. stock market dominated by pessimism among the bidders
External background moderately negative for the stock market of Russia, America closed lower, Asia is trading in the red
Government Commission approved a plan to restore the Sayan-Shushenskaya GES
